Truthdig - Reports - How Bush Created a Theocracy in Iraq: "The most troubling aspect of the Bush Administration�s decision for an Iraq invasion and occupation is that the most probable outcome of such an invasion, as described by Mr Cole, certainly should have been understood by the Bush Administration at the time it was taking this momentous decision. Most informed and reasoning persons, even those outside government (see, B. Scowcroft and R. Scheer), certainly understood this was the most probable outcome at that time, why wouldn�t the Bush Administration? None of the reasons given for the invasion seemed to add up as favoring invasion. This resulted in the conclusion of most informed reasoning persons that either:
1. The Bush Administration had some very credible classified intelligence which could not be disclosed, of such great weight that it would support justify a high stakes gamble in the face of the most probable outcome,
2. The true reason for the invasion could not be disclosed for political reasons since the publicly stated reasons could not be reconciled with the most probable outcome (thus the speculation that the reason for invasion was for oil, empire, etc.), or
3. the Bush Administration simply did not know what it was doing, was so incompetent it had no way to assess or desire to understand the most probable outcome, and the decision was taken soley on unexamined ideological/religious grounds.
When the invasion occurred, I assumed either of the first two possibilities were most likely. I am now convinced that, sadly, it appears the third is most probable. Sadly because, at the least, it does not auger well that the Bush Administration has the skill and knowledge to depart the region with our national security being greater, or even equal to, what it was before the invasion for a very"
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